Private Investment

• Behavioral Finance
• Sonstiges

• Damoklesschwert Griechenland (Mai 2015)
• Home-builder confidence still strong (> 50)
• Europe/negative Analyst's sentiment
• Patterns (Muster / Charttechnik)
• Fear & Greed Index (Video/Definition)
• Super Bowl Indicator (2016)
• Oil - (final) Morning Star?
• BOFA Fund Manager Survey (Jan./Feb. 2016)
• Strong Buy vs. Strong Sell - Indicator
• Investor Movement Index vs. S&P 500
• COT for S&P 500 % of Open Interest
• UBS DERI Indicator dreht auf LONG (positiv)
• magischer Punktestand (10.000 im DAX)
• Gedanken am Vortag der US-Präsidentschaftswahl
• Cash-leves (BAML-survey, July-Aug. 2017)
• Magisches Trio ("Magic 15k")
• Balancing Flexibility and Discipline
• Behavioral Finance (55 / 65 / 75% of all years)
• U.S. Small Business Optimism Index (May 2018)
• BofAML's Fund Manager Survey (12th Oct. 2018)
• Fear & Greed (#3 "EXTREME FEAR")
• Fette Marktbreite (USA, Europa)
• Marktbreite fett wie am Fr., 4. Jan. 2019
• Fears in the years: 2016, 2017 and 2018

CNN Money
FEAR & GREED INDEX
(Status: 11th Oct. 2018 / After Market-Close)

Since the Index just reached an extreme level (< 20), my best guess would be, that we will be trying to find a floor in the S&P 500 these weeks (between 2,600 and 2,750 points), a level which could then serve...

...as a potential starting-ramp for a year-end rally in November 2018 (or December 2018).

Current status Fear&Greed-Index/please click here:
https://money.cnn.com/data/fear-and-greed