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Sector Performance by Calendar Month

Sector Performance by Calendar Month
(focusing on April)

The Trading Calendar presents full-year and monthly cumulative performance profiles for the overall stock market (S&P 500 Index) based on its average daily behavior since 1950.

Average Return by Calendar Month (Status: March 2017), source: cxoadvisory.com

How much do the corresponding monthly behaviors of the various stock market sectors deviate from an overall market profile? To investigate, let's consider the 9 sectors defined by the Select Sector Standard & Poor's Depository Receipts (SPDR), all of which have trading data back to December 1998:

♦ Materials Select Sector SPDR (XLB)
♦ Energy Select Sector SPDR (XLE)
♦ Financial Select Sector SPDR (XLF)
♦ Industrial Select Sector SPDR (XLI)
♦ Technology Select Sector SPDR (XLK)
♦ Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR (XLP)
♦ Utilities Select Sector SPDR (XLU)
♦ Health Care Select Sector SPDR (XLV)
♦ Consumer Discretionary Select SPDR (XLY)

Using monthly dividend-adjusted closing prices for these exchange traded funds (ETF) since inception, along with contemporaneous data for Standard & Poor’s Depository Receipts (SPY) as a benchmark, for December 1998 through December 2016 (216 months), one can find that following 5 Sectors perform the best in the upcoming month of April:

+++) Industrial Select Sector SPDR (XLI)
+++) Materials Select Sector SPDR (XLB)
++) Financial Select Sector SPDR (XLF)
++) Energy Select Sector SPDR (XLE)
+) Utilities Select Sector SPDR (XLU)

link: www.cxoadvisory.com/4408/calendar-effects