Private Investment

• Behavioral Finance
• AAII Inv. Sentiment

• AAII Investor Sentiment vs. S&P 500 (July 2015)
• AAII Investor Sentiment (June 2015) bullish reading 20% only!
• AAII Investor Sentiment (Q1/2011 - 6th June 2015)
• AAII Investor Sentiment vs. S&P 500 (2009-2015)
• AAII Neutral Investor Sentiment (2006 - 3rd Dec. 2015)
• AAII Neutral Investor Sentiment (record streaks)
• AAII Bullish Investor Sentiment (2005-01/2016)
• AAII Investor Sentiment vs. S&P 500 (2009-2016)
• AAII Investor Sentiment (Bulls: LT-LOW)
• AAII-Bullish Investor Sentiment vs. S&P 500
• AAII Investor Sentiment (Sep. 2016)
• AAII Investor Sentiment (20th Oct. 2016)
• AAII Investor Sentiment (1st March 2017)
• AAII Investor Sentiment (8th March 2017)
• AAII Investor Sentiment (5th April 2017)
• AAII Investor Sentiment (17th May 2017)
• AAII Sentiment (23rd Aug. 2017)
• AAII Sentiment (30years - history)
• AAII Sentiment (2nd May 2018)
• AAII Sentiment (27th June 2018)
• AAII Investor Sentiment (25th Oct. 2018)
• AAII Sentiment (12th Dec. 2018)
• AAII Sentiment Survey (27th Dec. 2018)
• AAII Sentiment Survey (12th March 2020)
• AAII Sentiment Survey (7th May 2020)
• AAII Investment Survey (17th June 2020)
• AAII Investment Survey (29th July 2020)
• AAII Investment Survey (19th August 2020)
• AAII Investment Survey (24th September 2020)
• AAII - Sentiment (15th & 22nd Sep. 2021)
• AAII-Bulls reading < 20%
• AAII Investor Sentiment bullish < 16%

AAII Sentiment / 8week-Average (LongTerm-LOW)

The AAII 8-week moving average of bulls is below the 25%-threshold. This marks a lower level than in March 2003 and March 2009! The lack of bulls suggests, that a big majority may be betting on a big bad outcome.

My opinion: On average, the majority-opinion turns out to be wrong.
Still, this standard-outcome may just work, if everything turns out better than worse as it - most of the time - did in the past...

source: https://lplfinancial.lpl.com