Private Investment

• RM
• Asset Allocation

• Entscheidungsfindung/Asset-Allocation
• Asset Allocation (annual performance/history)
• Decade Returns 1930 through 2009
• Portfolio-Example (what is possible?)
• Asset Allocation (minimum loss year 1/25)
• Ray Dalio about Asset Allocation
• Asset Allocation (annual performance/2003-2015)
• Dividend payers - Portfolio selection (Backtest)
• Minimum Varianz (1. Versuch), 1996 - 03/2016
• Intermarket (Snapshot/different Assets)
• Paulson (Berühmter Hedge-Fonds)
• Warren Buffet vs S&P 500-ETF vs Hedge Funds
• Momentum Strategy (strong sectors)
• Lifetime-Investment-Strategy (source: AAII)
• S&P 400 Total Return (great Index)
• Umfrage unter österr. Vermögenden (Asset Allocation)
• Top 100 BrandZ 2015 (Performance Recap)
• Great Portfolio 1 (CAGR: > 24% p.a.)
• Buy & Hold Skyrocket-Portfolio
• Buy & Hold-Strategie (Ralph Gollner)
• Ralph Gollner vs. BC-Zertifikat
• Ray Dalio versus ZUKAL und W. Buffet
• AbsoluteReturn-Ansatz vs. Ray Dalio
• Anlagestrategien (exemplatisch 02/2016 - 08/2016)
• BOFA Fund Manager Survey (Aug. 2016)
• George Sors & Carl Icahn
• Hedge Fund (Paul Tudor Jones)
• AFA statt FANG
• The S&P 500-Timing-Portfolio (1996 - 08/2016)
• Asset Allocation (Bsp. aus Juli 2016)
• DAX (7 Aktien), Experiment (Backtest)
• David Blood, Al Gore - Sustainable Capital.
• Correlation between stocks
• Has Warren Buffet Lost His Appetite?
• Warren Buffet versus Indices, ETFs
• Magic ("lower") Risk - Stock-Portfolio (2004 - Sep. 2016)
• Minimum Vola-Strategien (Zertifikate, ETFs, etc.)
• Watch out for the BIG ROTATION (Trump-effect)
• Timing Strategy (Risk-reduction Stock-Markets)
• Dow Jones Ind. Average-components (1999-2016)
• The power of a diversified "US-biased" Portfolio
• Inflationproof (?) ALLWETTER_Portfolios ('03-2016)
• Das "Marktportfolio" (Status: 2015)
• Benjamin Graham on "Asset Allocation"
• Who or what is Renaissance (Competition ;-)
• Initial investment and contributions (ca.7 years)
• US Stock Market vs. 10-year Treasury (1972 - 2016)
• Pensionsfonds Global und AT
• ETF-Savings/Investment Plan (2007-Nov. 2016)
• Sectors - Performance U.S.A. (1999 - Nov. 2016)
• Real-Word-Diversification (2003 - 2015)
• Anlegerverhalten (Umfrage 2016)
• Factors (Value, Size, Momentum) vs. Correlation
• DAX (8 Aktien), Experiment (Backtest)
• Most Admired Companies Survey (Fortune)
• 25Jahres-Perioden (US-Aktienmarkt)
• Long-Term Investing (Recheck Kelly-formula!)
• Der Value-Zyklus (NOW?!?)
• Zufriedenheit mit einer positiven Rendite...
• Branchen-ETF (some risk, some fun?)
• 30years (starting point: Check out the P/E)
• Backtest (March 2009 - 2016)
• Sortino-Ratio (Portfolio-Backtest)
• USA (Home-Bias), period: 1975-March 2017
• Österreicher und "Die Aktie"
• ÖBIB (Österreich)
• The "connected cars" market
• DAX-Sparplan - Szenario bei "Worse Case"
• Berkshire Hathaway versus Renaissance Techn.
• Vermögensaufbau (Rendite, Risiko)
• Sparplan-Simulation auf den DAX (2015 - Juni 2017)
• Combining Value & Momentum (!)
• rG versus Warren Buffet (*ggg*)
• Walter Schloss (record)
• Retirement & Dividends
• Investitionsquote "Aktien" (Mag. R. Gollner, skizziert)
• "The Permanent Portfolio"
• Deutsche Staatsanleihen (Reale Verzinsung neg.)
• Top BrandZ 2017 - Selection from Top 100
• Cost of Capital (WACC)
• Ansparplan - langer Anlagehorizont
• Immobilienmarkt Österreich (Wien)
• XLB (US-Materials Sector)
• Bonds in a rising interest environment (History)
• Definition einer dynamischen Investitionsquote
• Well, he admits it...
• Billy Axman (Bill Ackman)
• Bonds vs. Stocks (Warren Buffet)
• Dynamische Investitionsquote (23. März 2018)
• Swimming naked...
• The period 1982 - 1999 (Kindergarden)
• 10year US-Treasuries and Dow Dividend Stocks
• Two rivals of the U.S. Stock Market
• Warren Buffet vs. Carl Icahn (2010 - Apr. 2018)
• Portfolio "German-Austrian"
• GAFAM (sehr konzentriert, Risky Risky)
• German-Austrian (Mag. R. Gollner)
• 5 US-Stocks Portfolio (High Risk, Annual Rebalancing)
• Möglicher Anlagezeitraum (30 Jahre?), Lernkurve
• Roboter und Marketing (...)
• Mission Impossible 2019 - 2028
• "German-Austrian" (Mag. Ralph Gollner) vs. DAX
• Oakmark vs. Warren Buffet vs. Danaher
• Julian Robertson ("Tiger")
• QQQ & ^Gold "Timing Portfolio"
• The Race For AI (Status: Q1-2018)
• "German-Austrian" vs. "LieberMann-Strategie"
• David "Unicorn" and some downturn...
• Asset classes / History
• Returns and Standard Deviation (1956 - 2015)
• Wiener Zinshausmarkt versus Aktien (?)
• Spin-off (Investment opportunity ?)
• Time is over: Warren Buffet (?), July 2018
• Venture Capital (magic returns?)
• US Top 10 companies
• Hanni-Börsday :-)
• David Einhorn is losing (Status: Sep. 2018)
• All we need is just a little patience...
• Piotroski F-Score (Backtest)
• Privater Zins-Tilgungsträger (2018 bis 2034)
• ETF-Cocktail (Backtest since my birthday ;-)
• Gr8 Outperformance versus S&P 500 ('95 - 2018)
• Nachhaltige Geldanlage (2002 - Sep. 2018)
• Deutsche Anleihen(Rendite nach Inflation), 2018
• Ich baue mir (m)eine Privatpension (Jahr 2018)
• Meine Aktien-Investitionsquote (Dez. 2018)
• US-Equity Risk Premium (Dec. 2018)
• Ralph vs. Warren Buffer & Oakmark funds
• Investmentfonds-Methusalem (1934ff)
• "BASM" (Fred Kobrick)
• Stock Market Returns (U.S. stocks)
• U.S. Stock Market Returns by Decade
• Top Brandz (2018)
• Global GDP-Growth (source: OECD-Video
• Trump and the Trend-Followers (freaky stuff)
• Long-Term-Investing (20 years+)
• Bond yield versus Dividend yield
• Aktienquote in einem Portfolio (26.03.2020)
• M/eine Aktienquote (7. April 2020)
• Aktien-Investionsquote & Covid-19
• Reflation Trade (5th June 2020)
• Aktienquote per Mai 2020
• BLACK SWAN-BACKTEST (2010 bis Jänner 2020)
• LIRP-environment & Cash-yields (year 2020)
• Asset-Allocation (Crypto-Cocktail)

Backtest of 8 US-Stocks
(2002 - Sep. 2018)

Great outperformance versus the US-Stock Market (S&P 500) and positive returns in each of the past 18 years!

There are still many ways to achieve an unbelievable outperformance against a "risky S&P 500" (see the Drawdowns of the broad US-Stock Market in the last decades, like in the year 2002 or 2008!).

An annual return of over +17% over the last 18 years with lower fluctuations than the broad Stock Market (S&P 500) shows what is possible. The BUY&HOLD-portfolio-Backtest was possible via adapting academic research and a senseful Riskmanagement-approach!

Cheers
Ralph Gollner